Don’t get the wrong idea; trading in securities always carries risks. You
should never trade with money that you can’t risk losing. That means trading
with your children’s education savings isn’t a good idea. If you want to trade,
set aside a portion of your savings that isn’t earmarked for any specific use
and that you believe you can put at risk without ruining your lifestyle.
Obviously, we plan to show you ways to minimize risk, but we can’t promise
that you won’t take a loss. Even the most experienced traders, the ones who
put together the best trading systems, don’t have a crystal ball and periodically
get hit by a market shock and accompanying loss. By using the basics of
fundamental and technical analyses, we show you how to minimize your risk,
how to recognize when the market is ripe for a trade, when specific sectors
in the market are the right places to be, how to figure out which phases
economic and market cycles are in, and how to make the best use of all that
knowledge
Foolish Assumptions:
We’ve made a number of assumptions about your basic knowledge and
stock-trading abilities. We assume that you’re not completely new to the
world of investing in stocks and that you’re familiar with the stock market
and its basic language. Although we review many key terms and phrases as
we explore the basics of trading, if everything you read sounds totally new
to you, you probably need to read a basic book on investing in stocks before
trying to move on to the more technical world of trading.
We also assume that you know how to operate a computer and use the
Internet. If you don’t have high-speed access to the Internet now, be sure you
do have it before trying to trade. Many of the resources we recommend in
this book are available online, but you’ll need high-speed access to be able to
work with many of these valuable tools.
Gathering Your Tools:
Trading is a business, and just like any other business, you need to put
together a good set of tools to be successful. In Part I, we talk about the
basics of trading, introduce the markets and the exchanges, discuss various
alternatives for finding a broker and setting up your brokerage account, and
describe the minimum computer hardware and software necessities you
need to succeed as a trader. We also discuss your Internet needs and point
you to some good basic resources on the Internet that can help get you
started.
Many traders don’t use fundamental analysis. They believe technical analysis
is the only thing you need to understand. We don’t agree. You can gather
plenty of valuable information about the economy, markets, sectors, and
individual stocks that can help you excel as a trader. We start you out with
the economy, the basics of the business cycle, sector rotation, and various
economic indicators, because they can help you make your calls. Next we
show you how to delve into financial statements to find the crucial information
you need to pick the companies whose stocks you want to trade. Finally, we
talk about analysts and what information you can get and use from them and
what you shouldn’t use. We also explain how you can listen in on analysts’
calls to get the most current information about a company and how executives
perceive their company numbers.
You can’t even begin to think about trading if you don’t understand technical
analysis and how to build and read charts so you can pick entry and exit
points when buying and selling stocks. We take you step by step through
the process of building a chart, and we describe how to identify trends and
distinguish between transitions from one trend to another. In this part, you
find out how to recognize bull and bear patterns and how to differentiate
between a stock that is range bound and one that is trending.
Developing Strategies for
When to Buy and Sell Stocks:
After finding out how to use the tools of fundamental and technical analyses,
you’re ready to develop strategies for your own trading. First you need to
explore good money discipline to avoid taking major losses and be around
to trade for another day. You also need to determine when to stay in a
position and when to trade out of it. You certainly want to take your profits
at the right time, but you also want to avoid standing idly by as a profit turns
into a loss. Next we talk about how you can gather key information through
fundamental analysis and then add the results of your technical analysis to
build an optimum trading strategy
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